2028年美国总统选举

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2028年美国总统选举 |
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2028年美国总统选举将于2028年11月7日星期二举行[1],此次选举是美国第61届总统选举,选举第48任美国总统。同时众议院全部435个席位及参议院其中33个议席也将进行改选,以产生第120届美国国会。各州选民将选出选举人,由选举人团投票选举确认新一届美国总统与副总统当选人。第45、47任总统唐纳德·特朗普因已赢得2016年和2024年两届总统任期,依据美国宪法第二十二修正案规定,不得竞选第三任期,惟特朗普仍然表示有意参选(详见下方#唐纳德·特朗普一节)。
背景
[编辑]共和党候选人特朗普和万斯于2024年击败民主党候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯和蒂姆·沃尔兹,于2025年1月20日宣誓就职。特朗普曾于2016年当选总统,但在2020年连任竞选输给了乔·拜登。共和党亦赢得了参议院的多数地位并保住了众议院的多数地位,再次完全执政[2][3]。
共和党潜在候选人
[编辑]已表达参选意愿
[编辑]唐纳德·特朗普
[编辑]现任美国总统唐纳德·特朗普已当选两届。根据美国宪法第二十二修正案,特朗普被禁止连任第三任期。尽管如此,他还是多次表示要寻求第三任期,且有如斯蒂芬·班农等部分保守派人士鼓励他继续连任[4]。 据《政客》杂志所指,特朗普为了再次参选,可能会尝试各种未经检验的法律理论和漏洞,而其结果最终将取决于美国最高法院的裁决[5]。
在2025年1月,共和党田纳西州众议员安迪·奥格斯提案修改第二十二修正案,允许担任过两届非连续任期的总统寻求第三任期。该修正案的措辞将阻止仍在世的前总统比尔·克林顿、乔治·沃克·布什和贝拉克·奥巴马竞选第三任期。根据第二十二修正案,因三人都顺利连任,所以他们就没有资格竞选第三任期[6]。在2025年保守政治行动会议上,Third Term Project等保守派团体支持奥格斯的修正案,并鼓励特朗普竞逐当下仍属违宪的第三任期[7][8] 。对此民主党纽约州众议员丹‧戈德曼计划提出一项确认第二十二修正案的决议反制[9]。
在2025年3月,特朗普接受NBC新闻采访并谈到寻求第三任期时表示:“很多人都希望我连任。但我的意思是,我基本上告诉他们,我们还有一段很长的路要走,你也知道,现在执政仍处于初期阶段。我专注于当前。”他补充道,“总有方法可以办到”,而且他“不是在开玩笑”[10]。他同意其中一个方法是让JD·万斯竞选总统,然后在选举后将总统职位移交给他,但他表示还有其他方法[10][11]。
在2025年5月4日,特朗普曾一度在接受采访时表示,虽然很多人建议自己寻求第三任期,但是这不是他想要追求的事情,他更想好好利用这一任期的4年时间做一番事业,然后交棒给一名优秀的共和党人[12]。唯同月15日特朗普再次重申他正考虑在2028年再次竞选[13][14]。
媒体猜测
[编辑]拒绝成为候选人
[编辑]以下人士表示不会竞选总统:
- 小唐纳德·特朗普:商人,现任总统唐纳德·特朗普的儿子。[32][33][34]
- 伊万卡·特朗普:前总统顾问,现任总统唐纳德·特朗普的女儿。[35]
- 伊隆·马斯克:世界首富,政府效率部实际领导人。由于其不是自然出生的美国公民,根据美国宪法第二条没有资格参选。[36]
民主党潜在候选人
[编辑]已表达参选意愿
[编辑]蒂姆·沃尔兹
[编辑]蒂姆·沃尔兹自2019年起担任明尼苏达州州长,并在2024年担任卡玛拉·哈里斯的竞选副手。蒂姆·沃尔兹在3月接受《纽约客》采访时表示他有意参加2028年总统选举[37]。同月他批评了他和卡玛拉·哈里斯于2024年的竞选活动,称“我们(竞选活动)不应该如此保守行事”,并重申他有意参加2028年选举[38]。
媒体猜测
[编辑]拒绝成为候选人
[编辑]以下人士表示不会竞选总统:
- 马克·库班[d]:亿万富翁商人、达拉斯独行侠共同拥有者、2929 Entertainment联合创始人[44][77]
- 约翰·费特曼:宾夕法尼亚州参议员(2023至今)及前宾夕法尼亚州副州长(2019–2023)[44]
- 米歇尔·奥巴马:前美国第一夫人(2009–2017)[78][79]
- 贾雷德·波利斯:科罗拉多州州长(2019至今)及前科罗拉多州第二国会选区众议员(2009–2019)[80]
- 伯尼·桑德斯[e]:佛蒙特州参议员(2007至今),曾于2016及2020年参与民主党总统初选[81][82]
- 埃莉萨·斯洛特金:密歇根州参议员(2025至今)及密歇根州第七国会选区众议员(2019–2025)[83]
- 安德鲁·科莫:前纽约州州长(2011-2021)及前纽约州州检察长(2007-2010),已宣布参加2025年纽约市长选举[84]
- 韦斯·摩尔:马里兰州州长(2023–)及前Robin Hood Foundation 首席执行官(2017–2021)[85]
注释
[编辑]参考资料
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